LSAT 8 | Section 1 | Logical Reasoning: Q14

LR Question 14 Explanation

QUESTION TEXT: Some policymakers believe that our country’s…

QUESTION TYPE: Most Strongly Supported

FACTS: In the past, tax free savings programs have not led to an increase in savings. Instead people moved money they had already been saving.

ANALYSIS: The past cannot be a 100% predictor of the future. However, it can support a prediction about the future.

We can’t be sure that the program will fail to increase savings by very much. But this stimulus strongly supports the idea that savings won’t increase very much.

___________

1. Not necessarily. It could be that the backers of the program aren’t aware that the same idea failed in the past.
2. CORRECT. Yes. The exact same idea didn’t work in the past. We’re given no evidence to suggest that it might work now because some factor changed.
3. Not necessarily. It could be that no tax incentives will cause a large increase in savings.
4. Hard to say. Policymakers seem to think savings are a good idea. But they haven’t presented any evidence that we’re doomed if we can’t increase savings.
5. It could be that there is some program apart from tax incentives that would be very effective at increasing savings.

Recap: The question begins with “Some policymakers believe that our country’s”. It is a Most Strongly Supported question. Learn more about LSAT MSS questions in our guide to LSAT Logical Reasoning question types.