QUESTION TEXT: Economist: The economy seems to be heading…
QUESTION TYPE: Role in Argument
CONCLUSION: The economy is probably coming out of recession.
REASONING: Consumers are buying more durable goods. This means they expect growth.
ANALYSIS: The argument has this structure:
Consumers buy goods ➞ This means they expect growth ➞ This means the recession will probably end.
The fact that consumers are buying durable goods is evidence that supports the conclusion.
___________
- The argument does explain why people buy more goods: they expect growth. But that wasn’t why the economist told us this fact. He told us this because it shows the economy will start growing again.
- Not necessarily. The economy might start growing again even if consumers don’t buy new durable goods.
- This gets it backwards. This fact about consumers lets us deduce that the recession will soon end.
- This is backwards. We can guess that consumers expect growth because they buy more durable goods.
- CORRECT. See the analysis section. This fact about consumers tells us they expect growth, and therefore the recession might end.
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