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LSATHacks › LSAT Explanations › Preptest 154 › Logical Reasoning › Question 21

LSAT 154 | Section 2 | Logical Reasoning: Q21

LSAT Preptest 154 explanations

LR Question 21 Explanation

QUESTION TEXT: A study of 30 years of weather pattern records of several…

QUESTION TYPE: Necessary Assumption

CONCLUSION: Human activity has large-scale effects on weather.

REASONING: 30 years of data showed weekends are cloudier than weekdays. Few natural 7-day cycles can have significant impact on weather patterns.

ANALYSIS: This argument pointed out human activity as responsible for 7 day cycles in the weather since natural 7-day cycles weren’t responsible. But what about non-7 day natural cycles?

What if a 3-day rainy period caused 7 days of cloudiness? Rain is still natural, and so casts doubt on the author’s conclusion. We need to rule out these possibilities. So the correct answer would need to say that a 7-day cycle requires a 7-day cause, which in this case, would be the human 7-day work week.

___________

  1. This focuses on the weekend and industrial activity, which is too specific. We’re concerned with 7-day cycles, not just the weekend. As well, the cause doesn’t need to be the decrease in industrial activity; it could be that there is less car pollution since people don’t need to commute on the weekends.
  2. This is an extreme answer, we don’t know if there aren’t any naturally occurring 7-day cycles and the stimulus never mentioned if there are any. Not to mention, the stimulus already said that there are a few 7-day cycles.
  3. The stimulus doesn’t mention “living organisms”, only human activity specifically, so this shifts focus away from the argument. Even if all living organisms’ effects come from humans, that still doesn’t address the core issue: could a non 7-day natural cycle still be the cause? This choice doesn’t eliminate that third possibility, so it’s not the necessary assumption.
  4. This doesn’t help the argument. The argument is trying to prove that humans are responsible for a specific 7-day weather pattern – not that all major weather influences are cyclical. Even if this is true, it wouldn’t tell us whether the observed 7-day pattern comes from human activity or some natural cause.
  5. CORRECT. The author needs to assume that a 7-day weather pattern has a 7-day cause in order to conclude that the 7-day work week (human activity) has impacted weather.

Recap: The question begins with “A study of 30 years of weather pattern records of several”. It is a Necessary Assumption question. Learn how to master LSAT Necessary questions on the LSAT Logical Reasoning question types page.

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Comments

  1. Zach says

    March 6, 2025 at 1:52 pm

    For choice C and D, you say “The stimulus doesn’t use conditional logic so the correct answer choice shouldn’t be introducing any. ” But the correct answer, E, also introduces conditional logic that was not in the stimulus. So why is this included as reasoning for why C and D are incorrect?

    Reply
    • Aaminah_LSATHacks says Tutor

      March 21, 2025 at 8:12 pm

      You’re correct, thanks for catching that! The original explanation had wrong explanations for C and D. I have edited the explanations now, let me know if you still have questions.

      Reply
  2. nyclsattaker says Member

    October 28, 2022 at 3:01 am

    In regards to AC C, can you tease out why in necessary assumption questions, if the stimulus does not use conditional logic, the answers should not have conditional logic as well? Sorry, I am a bit slow here! And does this rule apply to other question types?

    Reply
    • Graeme Blake says Founder

      December 6, 2022 at 1:15 pm

      It’s more of a general rule than an absolute, but conditional logic is mostly powerful when paired with other conditional statements. If you have more than one you can connect them for a deduction. With only one, it’s just an isolated statement.

      But probably the better answer here for a necessary assumption answer is that negating a conditional statement has no impact most of the time. Do you care about the difference in any of these:

      * You always get what you want —> You get what you want, except there was once a tiny exception where you failed to secure your preferred breakfast
      * Everyone likes you —> all but one person likes you and you don’t care about that person

      Because negating a conditional does little, it generally won’t be right. Exception might be if conditional language was used, because then you would need 100%

      This rule doesn’t necessarily apply to all Q types but in general conditional statements are more useful with more than one.

      Reply
      • Daniel Adejombo says

        October 13, 2024 at 8:21 pm

        Isn’t the right answer choice a conditional?

        Reply
        • Aaminah_LSATHacks says Tutor

          March 21, 2025 at 8:13 pm

          Hi, please see my response to Zach and let me know if you still have questions! Sorry for the late response.

          Reply

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