QUESTION TEXT: An antitheft device involving an electronic homing beacon …
QUESTION TYPE: Paradox
PARADOX: The device doesn’t deter theft since it’s undetectable. However, in cities where only a few drivers have installed it, car thefts have dropped a lot.
ANALYSIS: If the device is undetectable, and only a few cars have it, why would it have such a huge effect overall?
Well, we know it has a big advantage: it has very good odds at catching thieves. Maybe catching thieves could reduce theft generally.
We know it’s a small number of cases. So what if the same thieves commit a lot of the thefts. Then even catching a few of those thieves would cause theft rates overall to plummet. That explains the dramatic effect from limited use.
___________
- If thieves are less cautious, that might make them easier to catch, but it does not explain why a small percentage of devices leads to a citywide drop in thefts.
- This is about theft levels before the device was used. It does not explain the dramatic drop.
- This makes the beacon sound useful, but it still does not explain why limited use has such broad impact.
- Where victims live has nothing to do with why theft rates fall.
- CORRECT. If most car thefts are committed by a few highly experienced thieves, then catching even some of them can have a huge effect on total theft rates. That explains the dramatic drop.
More Resources for Paradox Questions
- Intro Course lesson: This intro course lesson covers Paradox questions.
- Mastery Seminar lesson: This LR Mastery seminar lesson covers paradox questions.

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